(Reuters) – ExxonMobil signaled yesterday that higher refining margins during the third quarter could boost its downstream profit by US$4.5 billion compared with the previous three months.
Refining margins have soared due to the ongoing Iran war, which has restricted energy exports through the Strait of Hormuz, as well as Ukrainian attacks on Russian refineries. The resulting higher fuel prices have created political risks for the administration of US President Donald Trump ahead of the midterm elections in November.
The top US oil producer’s expected refining boom could further draw the ire of the president, who complained in August that Exxon and Chevron were making “too much money”.
Exxon’s regulatory filing indicates that adjusted net income for the refining business could jump to US$8.5 billion, wrote BMO Capital Markets analyst Phillip Jungwirth in a research note. That would be more than double last quarter’s profit level.
Here are more details from Exxon’s earnings preview:
- Upstream earnings could take a US$1.3 billion hit compared with the second quarter. The average closing Brent benchmark price declined about 5.6% during the third quarter compared with the previous three months, according to LSEG data.
- Exxon indicated that there were no volume-related disruptions during the quarter stemming from the Iran war.
- The company’s move to divest some upstream assets will boost earnings by US$700 million.
- Exxon will release full third-quarter results on October 30.
- Exxon shares were up less than 1% in pre-market trading.
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